Monday, November 7, 2016
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
Michael Moore is actually listening. Color me stunned. We'll see if the Donald will actually pull it off, but as I keep saying - the rage is real. Trump doesn't have "support" so much as he is seen as a way to blow up the necrotic hand of corruption and oppression that has strangled Deplorable Country for decades.
Sunday, October 23, 2016
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Long silence on this end. Partially due to the pressures of life. Partially due to the fact that all the things we've discussed for years here at FutureJacked are coming to life. All this planning is no longer an academic exercise.
Let's take a look over the landscape.
Thursday, July 28, 2016
|USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll 28 July 2016|
On July 19, 2016, The Los Angeles Times, a highly credible and influential U.S. News organization, published the following Op-Ed by James Kirchik, entitled If Trump Wins, A Coup Isn't Impossible Here in the U.S. If you haven't, please take time to read it. There will be nothing new in it if you've been following the election via the twitter feeds and articles from America's formidable array of highly credentialed and well-regarded media establishment. It's not the content, but the framing I want to draw your attention to. You have a prominent media figure floating a trial balloon in the sort of "I'm not sayin', but I'm just sayin'..." style that you see when someone under intense stress is talking themselves into doing something very challenging and very life-altering. Imagine for a moment a major U.S. news organization publishing such a thing in 2008, positing such an event if Obama were to beat McCain...
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
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Tuesday, May 24, 2016
|The Disruption by CAVARTWORKS|
One of the themes we continue to harp upon here at FutureJacked is that the settled and orderly life (and the systems set up to support that orderly existence) that so many (not all, but many) in the Western Industrial World have enjoyed for decades is coming unraveled as the foundations upon which it was built upon wash away under the changing tides of net negative social mood and a shift in technology allowing small groups to wield significant power to destroy.
The Old World, built as it was during an era of intensely positive social mood, governed by bureaucracies that were at least moderately efficient in not killing the goose that lays the golden eggs of good jobs and stable investment environments, and leveraging technologies of violence that tilted in favor of large-scale organizations (generally the thesis described in brief in Catastrophic Abundance) is dead. The vast majority just have not woken up to that fact. When they do, they will look around see a world with its infrastructure all laid out in nice, shiny, easily disrupted locations because of the assumptions made back in an era of peace and trust.
As mood continues to darken, things like this will continue to intrude on the psyche of that majority, reinforcing the downturn:
The formal response modern institutions are locked into guarantees widespread disruption at the most minor of perceived threats. It's as if society has an auto-immune disease and the slightest trigger can set off a cascading set of costly, disruptive, and time-consuming responses. And this particular incident didn't even involve a bomb or a gun. Imagine the disruption ramped up from here if a pipe bomb (even a fake one) had been planted as part of this Op...
John Robb has done a lot of work in this space over the years and you should be following his stuff.
But don't just read and think about it. There's more than sufficient evidence out there right now for you to realize you must - must - become more resilient. Grow a garden, have a little extra food on hand. Know what to do if the power goes out for four days, know your neighbors. Life is going to get much more unsettled in the coming decades. Act now to prepare so you are not caught like a deer in the headlights when things go off-script.
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
|Crumble Canyon by Clay Brooks|
In my last post, I mentioned I'd be hashing out some thoughts on structures to help us navigate the storm building up all around us. It's proving tougher than I thought. More to come and we may just muddle through it together.
In the meantime, we need to give another look at our threat board.
Rule #1: Check the Saudi Stock Market
I cannot continue to stress this enough - check the trend of the Saudi stock market (SASEIDX). Here is the one-year chart for perspective:
I'll just leave that there for you to ponder. If you've ever had cash flow challenges, whether with your personal budget or in running a business, you know what this means.
A projected budget deficit this year is prompting the government to weigh alternatives to limit spending. Contractors would receive bond-like instruments to cover the amount they are owed by the state which they could hold until maturity or sell on to banks, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private.
Contractors have received some payments from the government in cash and the rest could come in "I-owe-you" notes, the people said...
As goes the Kingdom, so goes the Middle East
The Russian Nuclear Bogeyman
Putin is a bad man. Noted. But the absolutely mad rush by the Western elites to set Russia up as the next Great Satan is, in my mind, absolutely antithetical to US national interest and, frankly, the main interests of the major Western Powers, such as they are today.
Recently, we have a former UK general talking about how we are likely to see nuclear war with Russia in the near future. This is on the heels of countless other articles churned out the various think tanks, policy offices, and government agencies, all equating Russia's attempts to re-assert her primacy in what she calls the Near Abroad to the full-court press of the old Soviet Union.
Russia is not the USSR. The idea you would expect Russia to quietly fold itself into a world system run by corporate chieftains and bankers whose brilliance was laid bare for all to see 2007-2008 and be pleased with march of NATO to within a few hundred kilometers of St. Petersburg is to misread Russian psychology and history with a level of mendacity not seen since the senility of the Spanish Empire. But you know what, our elites are just the men and women for that job.
My analogy continues to be, what would the US response be to China toppling the governments of Mexico and Canada, and installing their own puppet regimes there?
Somehow, the Western elites have managed to craft a policy that has aligned Russia with the radical Islamists in Iran and the Chinese. In a world where we should be aligned with Russia to face growing threats out of the Middle East and as a bulwark against he rise of China, we instead have actively worked to isolate her and drive her into the arms of our enemies.
Sadly, the worst part is, I actually agree with General Shirreffs from the article above - we very well may see a nuclear war with Russia. A war that even now is completely preventable. That was one of the driving reasons I wrote Nuclear Emergencies - we could very well see it within the next ten years.
Ranting aside, when analyzing the West's tensions with Russia, you generally need to drill down several paragraphs in news stories to get to any meat. Pay attention to increased troop placements, war games (which Russia routinely runs under scenarios which go nuclear), and, of course, what stock market charts tell us about social mood.
Secession Continues to be Mainstreamed...
|Texas Secede Bumper Sticker|
Pardon the abuse of the Queen's English there, but I continue to get sick at the continuing drumbeat (totally forecast by socionomics, I must state) of separatism and secession which continues to slowly grow in intensity here in the States. And yes, I'm looking at you, Texas.
But it isn't just Texas. Over ten US states have active (to some degree) secession movements. As we saw with the disintegration of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, the USSR, and Yugoslavia - when large-scale political combinations built up over positive mood eras come apart, they can come apart quickly.
And for those who think it would be a swell idea, just remember, damn near every time, the first revolt fails...
A Tremulous Quiet
I'll leave the discussion of the upcoming US Presidential election alone for the moment. The DJIA continues its levitation act up up near 18,000. Whither it blows, we shall see - and that will help propel the campaign season in directions unimagined just a year ago.
At a more macro level, I recommend the following articles from The Archdruid Report as a way of describing some of the anger and frustration out there that the best and brightest continue to ignore and dismiss as nothing but the ravings of a bunch of ignorant, racist hicks who are too stupid to know how stupid they are and that they need to shut up and vote Blue:
- Donald Trump and the Politics of Resentment (note the date it was published)
- The Decline and Fall of Hillary Clinton
- The End of Ordinary Politics
More to come. Lot's more, sadly...
Friday, March 25, 2016
(Interview) Don't Be Fooled: News Does NOT Drive the Markets
See a fresh example in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index
By Elliott Wave International
Mark Galasiewski, the editor of our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, explains how using the news to predict the markets is "meaningless."
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
|Coming Soon by Adam Spain|
I wanted to check in on a few things and give you a feel for what we'll be working through here at FutureJacked over the rest of 2016.
KSA KSA KSAFirst off, as I continue to insist you do on at least a weekly basis, let's check in on the Saudi stock index (one year chart):
|SASEIDX via Bloomberg, 16 March 2016|
Thursday, March 10, 2016
|Cold War by Taylor Callery|
I want to draw your attention to a recent article posted at War on the Rocks, entitled Three Minutes to Midnight: Closer to Nuclear Conflict Than We Think. It touches on a number of themes we've pushed hard here at FutureJacked over the last year and as mass mood continues to throw off alarm bells of negativity across the globe, these themes continue to be relevant to what you want to have on your threat board.
Thursday, February 25, 2016
I strongly urge you to take advantage of this free report before the free download limit is reached.
State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 edition, one of the most anticipated annual reports for investors and technical analysts, has just been released, and the first 10,000 copies can be reserved right now 100% free. After that, it goes to $99 per download, where it will stay for the rest of the year.
This report flies off the virtual shelves every year, and with this year being especially volatile so far, we arranged with the publisher to give you an immediate heads up so you can be among the first to get access.
This 50-page, chart-filled report may be the most valuable publication you read this year. It will help you avoid the dangerous pitfalls and spot the biggest opportunities in the year ahead.
Want to know what's inside? Click this link to start reading it now. If you want a little context first, take a look at these headlines:
Wall Street makes worst ever start to a year (Financial Times)Notice anything interesting?
Dow Tumbles Nearly 400 Points on China Worries (Wall Street Journal)
World markets plunge as oil drops below $27 a barrel (CNN)
Expect gold prices to be massively volatile (MarketWatch)
The thing that jumps out at me is how massively contrary today's reality is compared to most experts' projections for 2016 just a few short months ago. Not getting off to a great start, are they?
Now consider this: In the first week of this year, the Wall Street Journal polled 10 well-known fundamental analysts for their year-end forecast for the S&P 500. They projected on average the S&P to reach 2,193 by the end of the year. The lowest forecast was 2,100. The highest was 2,300.
Now that's interesting enough, but get this: These same experts from the same poll one year ago projected the S&P to reach 2,201 by the end of LAST year!
Fast forward to today, investors and analysts have been in a panic as the markets ended 2015 well off those projections and kicked off 2016 with its worst start EVER.
U.S. stocks, Chinese stocks, gold, oil, the entire European Union -- all are at pivotal junctures right now, and we're only two months into the new year.
If you want to prepare for the rest of 2016 and equip yourself to adapt to rapidly changing trends around the world, I encourage you to follow this link and claim your copy now.
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The State of the Global Market Report provides a premium-level look inside the world's largest independent financial forecast firm's big-picture forecasts for 2016. It gives you a snapshot of what's already occurred then focuses you squarely on what Elliott Wave International's team of global analysts sees for the rest of 2016 and beyond. At about 50 chart-filled pages, it may be the most valuable publication produced each year to help investors position themselves wisely for the year ahead, avoid the dangerous pitfalls, and catch and ride the biggest, fastest-moving opportunities.
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The FutureJacked Team
P.S. We know most investors are interested mostly in U.S. markets, but there's an advantage to looking abroad, too. EWI has a keen understanding of how markets around the world fit into the global big-picture. After all, the Great Depression started in Europe then crossed the Atlantic to the Americas. So it's important you keep an eye on the global big picture. As a result of reading this report, you'll see what we EWI's sees right now and for the rest of the year -- both threats AND opportunities on a global scale. Click this link to learn more and download your free report now.
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
For those of you in the United States who continue to buy into the condescension of the Establishment as they attempt to explain the rise of Donald Trump in terms they can understand - only racist white straight males who are ignorant can vote for such a madman - make no mistake, he is not the fool they make him out to be.
Watch the video above. Look at the production quality, the way they play back and forth between dying Europe's cultural icons, shifting to the black and white video footage of swarming masses overwhelming border barriers. The fable that is chosen for this piece is pitch-perfect.
And the elites have no answer, other than, trust us, this will work out because we are smarter than you morons out in the lumpenproletariat.
Donald Trump as president would be a disaster for a variety of reasons, but the rage he represents is real and the core issues that drive that rage are far more than the arrogant assumptions of the elites.
Sunday, February 14, 2016
|Triple Threat by Mr. Grin|
Let's zero in on Syria, as it seems to have eclipsed the struggle in Ukraine as the hot spot most likely to generate an historical accident on the scale of the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand in Sarajevo. And while from a socionomic point of view the potential for a World War in the immediate future looks unlikely, things can spiral out of control quickly in these eras. Alan Hall covers this in a short video and link to an article here.
Replaying the Thirty Years War in Syria
As events in the Middle East barrel down the well-worn path to even more death and destruction, I continue to ask you to read news articles and consume news videos with a jaundiced eye and with your socionomics hat on.
At this point, any "real" reason behind the conflict in Syria has long be overtaken by events. Whether you subscribe to the Arab Spring in Syria thesis, or the attribute it to Sunni efforts to oust Assad and disrupt the "Shia Crescent", or that it was all about building a pipeline from Qatar to Europe - Russia's decision to prop up the Assad government in late 2015 has shifted the calculus significantly.
Today we find a situation where:
- Russia is bombing "moderate" rebels in western Syria, shaping the events on the ground to restore the Assad government's primacy in the west of the country and secure the major urban areas (of which Aleppo is the key prize).
- US policy is in flux, torn between the hawkishness of the McCain camp and a more "realist" point of view on whether further intervention will produce the results they hope for.
- Turkey has become fixated on the growing strength of Kurdish elements in the Syira debacle, turning its guns on the Kurdish YPG - a group that has actively fought Daesh and has been strongly supported by the US coalition.
- The Turkey-Russia dynamic continues to be tense. Russia has not only kept up significant air operations in Syria, but it has moved advanced anti-aircraft weapons in to Latakia and reportedly Russian Spetsnaz forces are active in Syria.
- Saudi Arabia, already in a fight against Iranian proxies in Yemen and subject to attacks by Daesh internally, is readying itself to send forces to Turkey and engage the fight in Syria.
- Jordan sits on the sidelines at the moment, but one can assume Daesh has its sights on the kingdom.
- Israel will do what it wants, against who it wants. They are absolutely the joker in the deck. Should Jordan go up in flames, always remember there is a strong thesis in parts of the country that the Palestinian population should be forcibly relocated across the Jordan River. Should the region implode further, look for this "desperate times call for desperate measures" thesis to take hold in socionomically fertile soil.
|SASEIDX Five Year View, Bloomberg, February 14, 2016|
If war breaks out, what would that really mean for you? If a world war breaks out, what then? If nothing else, revisit our Nuclear Strike of the Month for August 2015 and apply that analysis to your region as applicable.
Keep your eyes open, believe little of the spin provided to you as fact, and enjoy the moment. We are still in an era of unprecedented peace and prosperity. Enjoy, prepare, then be part of the solution to a better world when the whole thing goes sideways.
Wednesday, February 3, 2016
(Interview) Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better
New interview with our European markets expert
By Elliott Wave International
Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast, explains what indicators helped him anticipate market volatility.
You'll also learn what he's expecting for the year ahead in European stocks.
You can read Brian's commentary comparing Germany to the Greek god Atlas as part of our report, Deflation and the Devaluation Derby.
Here's what you will learn:
- How Europe's biggest economies are screeching to a halt
- Currency devaluation's role in the developing global crisis
- How the self-reinforcing aspect of deflation is already apparent in commodities trading
- Why the top 1% of earners are in for a rude awakening
- The hair-raising future for U.S. stocks
Just recall how swiftly the 2007-2009 financial crisis unfolded. We anticipate that the next global financial crisis could be even more sudden and severe.
Prepare now with our new report, Deflation and the Devaluation Derby.
Monday, January 18, 2016
Charts to Watch
|SASEIDX - Bloomberg|
- He does not have a system behind him, no party mechanism, no theory or platform – nothing really except the media coverage he generates basically for free.
- Not much of a “ground game” in the primaries and caucuses
- Zero endorsements from any part of the Republican Establishment heading into Iowa