Monday, February 7, 2011

Socionomics on a Roll

Exciting events related to mood, markets and events are popping up all around us. Here are a few select ones to think about as I get dug out from the blizzard last week both at home and at work:

Socionomics Summit 2011

I want to make sure you know about the upcoming Socionomics Summit to be held in Atlanta, Georgia, on April 16th. I was invited to speak, but unfortunately personal events have prevented me from attending this year. I would strongly suggest you take advantage of this opportunity and attend the conference. It is easy and inexpensive to get to Atlanta. It's a beatiful city in Spring with lot's to do if you happen to have a significant other who might not want to attend the Summit themselves.

While there, you'll have a chance to interact with some of the most cutting-edge thinkers in the realm of Socionomics in an intimate setting. Go! You will regret it if you don't. I am already bummed out I can't make it and it is not even mid-February.


The anger in Egypt continues to simmer. Their market remains closed, so I don't have a new chart for you. Egypt is a pivotal country in the region, so continue to keep an eye on events there. Even if the Mubarak regime (or one just like it with a new figurehead) retains power, this has been a mood event of enormous significance. The Egyptian populace was long regarded as apathetic and beaten down with no will or organizational capability to resist the Authoritarian state. Recent events have proven that wrong.

Cops can tell you that 90% of law and order is perception by the populace. With a significant portion of the populace having stood up to the cops and lived to tell about it - at least at the moment - it could be a marker of a huge shift in how Egyptians relate to the Central State.  At the end of the day, the way to bet is on the security services and the Army coming to some agreement, to the direct, personal agony of some of the protest leaders, but the precedent has been set and sometimes you get beat by an inside straight...

Select Papers on Non-Conscious Drivers of Will and Decision-Making

I ran across a couple of papers that might be of interest.  Socionomics turns the cause-effect chain for decision-making, social phenomena and market trends of large groups on its head, when viewed from a "common sense" point of view.  Here is some more evidence that much of what we think about consciousness and behavior is not necessarily so...

These articles address "Free Will" on an individual basis and discuss evidence for non-conscious effects and drivers on goals and behavior.  Something to think about when you plan to break a bad habit or learn a new skill.  More food for thought in terms of how the Socionomic Theory might be used to describe behavior down to the individual level if nothing else:

New Socionomist

And a new Socioniomist was released on Friday.  Some really good stuff on the mounting evidence in favor of the Socionomic Theory, including a nice overview of work being done at MIT and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign describing how mood expressed on Twitter and blogs can indicate markets moves that occur 3-4 days later! 

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