Thursday, March 25, 2010

Socionomics (Takes a) Hit

In the July 2009 issue of The Socionomist, the lead article by Euan Wilson, entitled "The Coming Collapse of Modern Prohibition," predicted the coming collapse of marijuana prohibition - if not the collapse of the entire War on Drugs.

He wrote:

History shows that mood governs society's tolerance for recreational drugs. A rising social mood produces prohibition of substances such as alcohol and marijuana; a falling mood produces tolerance and relaxed regulation. In the case of alcohol, the path from prohibition to decriminalization became littered with corruption and violence as the government waged a failed war on traffickers. Eventually, as mood continued to sour, the government finally capitulated to public cries for decriminalization as a means to end the corruption and bloodshed.

We predict a similar fate for the prohibition of marijuana, if not the entire War on Drugs...

Well, turn your eyes to the West Coast to find that:

State's voters to decide on legalizing pot
by Wyatt Buchanan, Chronicle Sacramento Bureau

California voters will decide this November whether to legalize and regulate adult recreational use of marijuana. The secretary of state on Wednesday certified that a Bay Area-based effort to put the issue on the ballot has collected enough signatures to do so.

If passed, California would have the most comprehensive laws on legal marijuana in the entire world, advocates say...

By the time November rolls around, I would expect the negative social mood to have increased significantly, setting this measure up for passage and setting California up for a direct confrontation with Federal Authorities to a degree not seen since the Southern portion of these United States tried opposing Civil Rights legislation in the 1950's and 1960's.

In addition, this will only add fuel to another building fire - separatism and eventually secession - as described in the January and February issues of The Socionomist.

I point all this out not to sound like a shill for a newsletter, but to reinforce why this blog exists in the first place. Socionomics as a theory is proving time and again to have some degree of predictive power. If you know the "tone" of coming events, you can structure your assets, your education, your location and your mindset in preparation. Whether or not you agree with a specific prediction I may make, or the professionals over at the Socionomics Institute may make is not the issue. The issue is that we have a theory on our hands that allows us glimpses of the future. The pictures we see may not be pretty, but forewarned is forearmed.

California is going to be a raging cauldron soon. Watch for the trends that spin out of Golden State.

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