Sunday, November 30, 2008

India and Pakistan

Stratfor has a new brief out on the India-Pakistan situation. Let's see, India may find herself "forced" to respond in a very strong manner. Pakistan is fragile. Both have nuclear arms. Just what the world needs on top of this ongoing credit crisis and in the waning days of a presidency with historically low approval ratings and little international credibility. When it rains, it pours...

India: A Political Response Begins to Form
from Stratfor

Five days after the Mumbai militant attacks began, the Indian government’s response is beginning to take shape Nov. 30. So far, the following actions have been taken:

  • According to a Reuters interview with India’s minister of state for home affairs, Sriprakash Jaiswal, India will increase security to a “war level.” Jaiswal went on to say, “They (Pakistan) can say what they want, but we have no doubt that the terrorists had come from Pakistan.”

  • Indian Home Minister Shivraj Patil resigned Nov. 30. Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram, who led an effort to overhaul India’s security agencies as a junior minister in the 1990s, will take his place. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, an economist by trade, will handle the finance portfolio for now. National Security Adviser M.K. Narayanan had submitted his resignation, but Singh refused it and thus Narayanan will retain his position, according to the Times of India. More resignations are expected from senior members of the Indian Intelligence Bureau and the Research and Analysis Wing.

  • Singh announced in an official statement that air and sea security would be increased; the counterterrorism National Security Guard will be expanded to include four additional hubs in different parts of the country; special forces at the disposal of the central government will now be utilized for counterinsurgency operations; and a Federal Investigating Agency will be formed.

  • Singh asked Foreign Secretary Shiv Shankar Menon to rush to Washington, D.C., to brief U.S. President-elect Barack Obama’s advisers on the Mumbai attacks. Menon is expected to leave for Washington on Dec. 1.

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